TraderTekno

Free tool · no signup

Does your trading record prove anything?

A 62% win rate can still lose money. Twelve trades can look great and mean nothing. Type in your record and see how much it can really tell you.

How many trades the record covers.

Share of those trades that closed in profit.

1.5 means the average winner is 1.5 times the size of the average loser.

Spread, commission and swap as a share of your average loss. 0.05 = 5%. Leave empty for 0.

These are example numbers. Replace them with yours.

Too early to tell.

With 40 trades, your true win rate could plausibly be anywhere from 39.8% to 69.3%. Break-even here is 47.7%, inside that range, so luck alone could explain the result. At this win rate, it would take roughly 180 trades before the range stops including break-even.

Average per trade
+0.16 R

after costs

Break-even win rate
47.7%

45.5% without costs

Plausible range
40% to 69%

95% confidence

This is arithmetic on the numbers you enter. It is not investment advice, does not rate any strategy and says nothing about future results. Also see how bad can a normal losing streak get?

Now imagine it on your real account

TraderTekno is an AI assistant that reads your trading account and answers in plain language. When you ask for a win rate on too few trades, it says there isn't enough data instead of giving you a number that looks solid.

We're testing with a small group first. We'll email you when a spot opens.

How it works

Does this tell me if my strategy works?

No. It only does arithmetic on the numbers you type. It shows how much a record of this size can and cannot tell you. It does not look at your trades, rate a method, or say anything about what comes next.

How is the plausible range calculated?

With the Wilson score interval at 95% confidence, a standard method for proportions that behaves well with small samples and win rates near 0% or 100%. It treats each trade as an independent win or loss.

How is break-even worked out?

Each win is worth your average win ÷ average loss (in R, where a loss is 1R). Break-even win rate = (1 + cost) ÷ (payoff + 1). Costs are a fixed share of your average loss per trade.

What does it leave out?

Trades are not all the same size, and results cluster (streaks, market regimes, position sizing changes). None of that is modelled here, so treat the output as a rough guide. Real records usually carry more uncertainty than this shows, not less.

Do you store what I type?

No. The numbers stay in your browser. A shared link carries them in the address so whoever opens it sees the same result. The page is counted as a visit, like every page here, without cookies or IP addresses.